Suvey USA poll shows momentum shifting to Jill Long Tompson

3 Weeks to Indiana Democratic Gubernatorial Primary

Long Thompson Has Momentum:

In a Democratic Primary for Governor of Indiana today, 04/14/08, 3 weeks till votes are counted, Jill Long Thompson pulls ahead of Jim Schellinger and leads now by 8 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville KY and WCPO-TV Cincinnati OH.

Today, it's Long Thompson 46%, Schellinger 38%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two weeks ago, Long Thompson is up 7, Schellinger is down 3. Long Thompson, who represented Indiana's 4th Congressional District from 1988 through 1994, has made inroads among men, where Indianapolis architect Schellinger had led by 21, now leads by 5. Among women, Long Thompson had led by 13, now leads by 20. In greater Indianapolis, Schellinger had led by 9, now leads by 3. In Southern Indiana, Schellinger had led by 22, now is tied. Among white voters, Schellinger had led by 3, now trails by 5. The winner of the primary will face incumbent Republican Governor Mitch Daniels. 16% of likely voters are undecided. The outcome is anything but certain.

The breakdown:

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2edf6ccb-570a-4d3d-8706-9ebe6f83b460

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Inside the numbers:

Some interesting things - JLT leads JS by 20 points with women voters and has nearly as strong a lead with African Americans. JS seems to have his biggest lead with self-described Republicans. But there's a real good chance at least some of them will support Mitch. I think it's becoming clear who our stronger canddidate is.

DW