From Michael4edwards of The Campaign To Change America
It feels good to be right sometimes.
Most of you know that I have been making the case that John Edwards is by far the most electable Democratic candidate for quite some time. The vast majority of state wide and national general election polling has backed this up.
The one state that had been fairly confusing for some was Florida. In the past Edwards and Clinton usually averaged a very similar lead against the Republicans, even though Edwards has always had the best favorable rating. On a few occasions I had pointed out that Senator Clinton gets more early support from Democrats that would align with the nominee no matter who it is after some natural closing takes place in the general election. She receives this support simply because Democratic voters are more familiar with her.
But I also warned, as recently as earlier today in my diary on MyDD, that her favorable ratings were troublesome. It's not that I am some polling expert or anything, the writing was on the wall. However, many of Senator Clinton's online supporters are not necessarily fans of mine, and they were very angry that I was challenging the one swing state where their candidate did as well as ours.
It looks like they are about to get a whole lot angrier.
Quinnipiac has just released a new Florida general election poll and it looks VERY good for John Edwards.
Not only is Edwards tied with Rudy Giuliani for the best favorable rating, he more than doubles Senator Clinton's average lead over the Republicans, and his average lead is 6 times that of Senator Obama's.
I have already written one poll themed diary today, so please blog about this if you would like to.
The previous Florida polling is included in my diary from earlier today -
http://www.mydd.com/story/2007/10/25/15522/250
And as always, you can find check out my General Election Polling Review at - http://esrc08.blogspot.com/
Quinnipiac University - FL: October 25, 2007
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1297.xml?ReleaseID=1112
Favorable / Unfavorable Percentages
Democrats
Hillary Clinton - 46 / 47
Barack Obama - 45 / 29
John Edwards - 50 / 28
Republicans
Mitt Romney - 31 / 23
Fred Thompson - 30 / 21
Rudy Giuliani - 52 / 30
John McCain - 48 / 27
Vs. Mitt Romney
Clinton - 47%Romney - 39%
Obama - 44%Romney - 37%
Edwards - 48%Romney - 34%
Clinton leads by 8%, Obama leads by 7%, Edwards leads by 14%
Vs. Fred Thompson
Clinton - 46%Thompson - 41%
Obama - 43%Thompson - 39%
Edwards - 47%Thompson - 36%
Clinton leads by 5%, Obama leads by 4%, Edwards leads by 11%
Vs. Rudy Giuliani
Clinton - 43%Giuliani - 46%
Obama - 40%Giuliani - 47%
Edwards - 41%Giuliani - 44%
Clinton trails by 3%, Obama trails by 7%, Edwards trails by 3%
Vs. John McCain
Clinton - 44%McCain - 43%
Obama - 42%McCain - 42%
Edwards - 42%McCain - 40%
Clinton leads by 1%, Obama is tied, Edwards leads by 2%
Averages
Clinton leads the Republicans by an average of 2.75%Obama leads the Republicans by an average of 1.00%
Edwards leads the Republicans by an average of 6.00%
Friday, October 26, 2007
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